Valentini, R., Arneth, A., Bombelli, A.,
Castaldi, S., Cazzolla Gatti, R., Chevallier, F., Ciais, P., Grieco, E.,
Hartmann, J., Henry, M., Houghton, R. A., Jung, M., Kutsch, W. L.,
Malhi, Y., Mayorga, E., Merbold, L., Murray-Tortarolo, G., Papale, D.,
Peylin, P., Poulter, B., Raymond, P. A., Santini, M., Sitch, S.,
Vaglio Laurin, G., van der Werf, G. R., Williams, C. A., and
Scholes, R. J.: The full greenhouse gases budget of Africa: synthesis,
uncertainties and vulnerabilities, Biogeosciences Discuss., 10,
8343-8413, doi:10.5194/bgd-10-8343-2013, 2013.
Abstract
This paper, developed under the framework of the RECCAP initiative, aims at providing improved
estimates of the carbon and GHG (CO2, CH4 and N2O) balance of continental
Africa. The various components and processes of the African carbon and GHG budget were considered,
and new and available data derived by different methodologies (based on inventories, ecosystem
fluxes, models, and atmospheric inversions) were integrated. The related uncertainties were
quantified and current gaps and weakness in knowledge and in the monitoring systems were also
considered in order to provide indications on the future requirements. The vast majority of the
results seem to agree that Africa is probably a small sink of carbon on an annual scale, with an
average value of −0.61 ± 0.58 Pg C yr−1. Nevertheless the emissions of
CH4 and N2O may turn Africa into a source in terms of CO2 equivalents. At
sub-regional level there is a significant spatial variability in both sources and sinks, mainly
due to the biome's differences and the different anthropic impacts, with southern Africa as the
main source and central Africa, with its evergreen tropical forests, as the main sink. Emissions
from land use change in Africa are significant (around 0.32 ± 0.05 Pg C yr−1) and
even higher than the fossil fuel ones; this is a unique feature among all the continents. In
addition there can be significant carbon losses from land even without changes in the land use
(forest), as results from the impact of selective logging. Fires also play a significant role,
with 1.03 ± 0.22 Pg C yr−1 of carbon emissions, mainly (90%) originated by
savanna and woodland burning. But whether fire carbon emissions are compensated by CO2
uptake during the growing season, or are a non-reversible loss of CO2, remains unclear.
Most of these figures are subjected to a significant interannual variability, on the order of
± 0.5 Pg C yr−1 in standard deviation, accounting for around 25% of the
year-to-year variation in the global carbon budget.
These results, even if still highly uncertain, show the important role that Africa plays in the
carbon cycle at global level, both in terms of absolute values and variability.
